5. México: una de sus tantas coyunturas.

por Héctor Miguel Torres Raya[1].

Suicidio en la calle obregón de Andrés Amezcua.

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Una de las situaciones que está pasando en nuestro país es el crecimiento, más o menos, del 1% anual en su generación de riqueza. Seguro  hay quienes ni se preocupan por este escenario, porque es un tema por el cual no se habían interesado; sin embargo, al encontrarse con los precios del supermercado y al meter su mano al bolsillo se dan cuenta que no les alcanza para adquirir lo más indispensable, de tal modo que empieza el discernimiento entre comparar un kilo de frijoles o un cuarto de carne. No es sino hasta este momento cuando el consumidor se pregunta “¿qué está pasando que ya no me alcanza para comprar todo lo que antes compraba?”

Cuando en los noticieros nos informan que el crecimiento del país es, más o menos, del 1% anual es para espantarse, ya que es sabido que por lo regular el crecimiento anual venía siendo aproximadamente del 3% anual y esta tasa había permitido poder consumir productos y servicios indispensables para nuestra manutención y con cierta moderación algunos gustos o lujos. Ahora con este cierre del 1% en crecimiento se teme que comprar las uvas de año nuevo sea en verdad ya un lujo, pues todo pinta a que estamos destinados a despedir el año presente y recibir el venidero contando los pesos y centavos.

Pero ¿cuáles son las implicaciones generadas por la desaceleración económica  que ha tenido México? Por un lado esta baja nos alude a que México ha dejado de producir a comparación de cómo lo había venido haciendo. Sabemos todos que un brazo fuerte en la economía mexicana es la explotación energética como el petróleo, pero también la maquila de productos, los servicios financieros, las comunicaciones y la construcción. Cuando estos ejes principales de producción en nuestro país reducen sus cometidos se empieza a experimentar una desaceleración de crecimiento.

Pero es importante mencionar que cuando una empresa reduce su producción comienzan a quedarse vacías las mesas de trabajo, se empiezan a recortar las fuentes de empleo, es decir, la caída de la producción genera desempleo. Si hemos puesto atención a los medios masivos de comunicación en estas últimas semanas, nos han estado informando el recrudecimiento de la situación del desempleo en México al cierre de este año.  Con la baja de empleos en el país se genera otro fenómeno a la par, éste es la carencia de “poder adquisitivo” para poder consumir los bienes y servicios que permitan a cada familia una vida estable. Al no poder consumir no se genera mayor producción, y al no generar mayor producción no se generan empleos y al no generarse empleos no se tiene “poder adquisitivo” para consumir, a lo que  llaman los teóricos economistas el “círculo virtuoso” de la economía. En el caso mexicano se encuentra roto este “círculo virtuoso”

Ahora bien, esta situación en lo personal me hace pensar en dos escenarios que con frecuencia sufre el mexicano, por un lado el lamento por la exacerbación de la delincuencia y por el otro los problemas de salud como la hipertensión y la diabetes que hoy por hoy es todo un tema para el gobierno en turno.

Cuando la tasa de empleo baja en nuestro país existen por lo menos tres posibilidades que les quedan a los jefes de familia por decidirse, hablando de los que se quedan sin trabajo remunerado. Si tienen la posibilidad, toman la opción de abrirse camino al comercio informal, es decir, abrir su propio changarrito dominguero o en los tianguis de las colonias para vender algunos productos y de ahí sacar unas monedas para alimentar y pagar las deudas que la familia ha adquirido gracias al “buen fin”. Otra opción  a partir de la caída del empleo es la migración ilegal a los Estados Unidos, pues en efecto, cuando la situación ya se puso dura en la familia y no hay modo de salir bien librado no queda de otra que emigrar a los Estados Unidos en búsqueda de una oportunidad que permita generar el ingreso suficiente para pagar la manutención en aquel país y mandar un poco para la esposa y a los hijos en el terruño natal. Finalmente, bajo el cobijo del desempleo queda otra opción, dedicarse a delinquir o peor aun al crimen organizado. En el consiente colectivo es sabido que este asunto es  bien remunerado, pues el riesgo es mayor, incluso más riesgoso que invertir en la “bolsa de valores”, pues se tiene en juego la propia vida, así que al parecer la ganancia es mayor que trabajar de obrero, campesino o incluso auxiliar administrativo, por tal motivo se vuelve una tentación y en algunos la mejor opción para salir adelante con la familia.

Fotografía obtenida de Andador.mx.

Fotografía obtenida de Andador.mx.

Y ¿qué tiene que ver todo esto del desempleo con las enfermedades que hoy por hoy afectan de manera sin igual a los mexicanos? Hay dos problemas en materia de salud nacional que se ha venido señalando como un problema para la nación y que es necesario combatir, la obesidad y los problemas cardiovasculares. Hay quienes afirman que casi el 90% de las enfermedades son psicosomáticas y que el principal detonador es el “estrés”. ¿Qué padre de familia no se frustra por la incertidumbre de si tendrá para darles de comer a sus hijos la próxima semana? ¿Qué papás no están con el Jesús en la boca cuando su trabajo pende de un hilo? ¿A qué papás nos les afecta que las deudas estén en la puerta de entrada y no se esperan para ser resueltas?  Si estamos pasando en México por un problema serio de crecimiento ¿quién no se va estresar? Así que el estrés lo podemos manifestar no sólo en comer comida chatarra o alta en azucares, sino también en no comer, además de vivir estragos de hipertensión, desequilibrio familiar y de pareja, pues “donde hace falta dinero, el amor sale corriendo por la ventana”, así nos ha enseñado el capitalismo que es el amor.

Para terminar, ante tal panorama, en México nos ha hecho creer la clase política de nuestro país y más de un empresario,  que la última y más sensata solución es aceptar las “reformas estructurales”, sobre todo la hacendaria y la energética, los políticos de manera constante hacen su aparición en los medios comunicativos para convencer que la única ecuación que tiene México para salir del cráter en el que se encuentra es permitir la inversión privada en las paraestatales, sólo así México crecerá. Finalmente, me pregunto ¿Cuáles han sido los casos de éxito en México donde la inversión privada y las paraestatales hayan salido bien libradas? ¿Cuál ha estado siendo el papel de los empresarios e inversionistas en este panorama en el que se están discutiendo las “reformas estructurales”? ¿A caso estarán favoreciendo el decrecimiento por el que pasa México como medida de presión para que los cambios venideros les favorezcan en mayor medida?


[1] Héctor Miguel Torres Raya,  Nació en Uruapan Michoacán, fue estudiante de Filosofía y Ciencias Sociales en el ITESO. torres_raya@hotmail.com

 

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